Polymarket Trader

fractaliz

@NikitaNear

0x82aed30e16478ce30d1e60b2474c5bfb4ca34325

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.39
Realized PnL: $4.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $7.6K
User PnL: -$10.09

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$147.89

No position

Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $895.4
Potential profit: $895.4
User PnL: -$61.72

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $129.06
Potential payout: $677.49
Potential profit: $548.43
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $104.43

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.41
Potential profit: $156.41
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $13.63
Potential payout: $77.9
Potential profit: $64.27
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $18.84
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Wrexham achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74
Potential profit: $5.74
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Manu Koné: 1+ shots

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.67

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.41

No position

Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.11

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.5

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.16

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.97

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.34

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.36

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.85

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.64

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.3

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.86

No position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.93

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.31

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.07

No position

Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.4

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.84

No position

Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.84

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.74

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $134.15

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.96

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.34

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.45

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Manu Koné: 1+ shots

Yes 50% 2 shares
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?

No 12.8% 77.9 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 93% 215.05 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 86% 348.84 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 570 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 71.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 600 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 540.58 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 88.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares