No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$31.54
Polymarket Trader
ItaiB
0x82b601f9d06bf22e316869bf2c31ca7f6d425a2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.56
- Realized PnL
- $960.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $390
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $221.76
- Potential profit
- $215.44
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$31.83
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $185.5
- Potential profit
- $185.13
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $149.72
- Potential profit
- $147.02
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$19.33
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$54
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.99
- Potential profit
- $126.99
- User PnL
- -$38.89
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.99
- Potential profit
- $126.99
- User PnL
- -$56.42
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $114
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.3
Yes position
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $46.35
- Potential payout
- $106.56
- Potential profit
- $60.21
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $13.08
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $81.49
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $87
- User PnL
- -$56.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.12
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $22.13
- Potential payout
- $71.4
- Potential profit
- $49.27
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$12.95
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $47.1
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.95
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.55
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.96
- Potential profit
- $59.96
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $50.54
- Potential profit
- $41.19
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$22.84
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.65
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.25
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.08
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.31
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.46
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.22
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.41
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.33
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 46% 10 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 46% 20 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 46% 10 shares
- Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 24% 16.56 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 10% 5 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 59% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 11 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 17% 49.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 62.18 shares