Polymarket Trader

Bristole

0x82c445ed53b5750b868d93237a645712cd7a2247

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.04
Realized PnL: $23.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1
Potential profit: $4.1
User PnL: -$1.97

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

27.2% 11.05 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 64% 3.13 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 66% 6.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Down 21% 6.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Down 16% 6.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Down 64% 3.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Down 60% 3.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Down 62% 3.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Down 53% 3.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6AM ET

Down 1.9% 105.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Up 1% 5.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 89% 5.59 shares