Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$67.55
Polymarket Trader
JoeMama4Evah
0x82ca0a78c209857c8ae48e3d6e809de6afe944c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.97
- Realized PnL
- $1.48K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $698.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$52.25
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.99
- Potential profit
- $132.99
- User PnL
- -$15.96
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $11.16
- Potential payout
- $36.58
- Potential profit
- $25.42
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.48
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $14.66
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $19.43
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $17.69
- Potential payout
- $21.73
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $15.97
- Potential payout
- $21.73
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.22
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $5.99
No position
Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will it rain in LA by next Friday?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 98.4% 21.12 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 12% 107.14 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 107.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 22.5% 62.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 1.1% 44.11 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 27.4% 54.02 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 70% 21.12 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 16.3% 88.23 shares
- FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?Yes 68% 21.73 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?No 42.3% 34.09 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 36.58 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 23.7% 60 shares