Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $361.11
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$138.88
Polymarket Trader
sovereign - 4741
0x82ce350ca5512e90e42351de69d2d230a923632b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.11
- Realized PnL
- $547.93
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.92
- Potential profit
- $476.92
- User PnL
- -$99.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.89
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$70.75
Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 54% 6.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 84.6% 23.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp 20.8% 473.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 5,555.56 shares
- Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 5.3% 1,903.41 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 10.9% 915.03 shares
- Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 5.4% 1,868.4 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 90,818.18 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 90,818.18 shares