Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $25.62
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $814.38
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Polymarket Trader
Curry11
0x82ddb1b8c41714e8c9f559181b8f8c466a8735f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.97
- Realized PnL
- $748.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $699.65
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.51
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$53.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $376
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $70.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.74
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $30.34
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.9
Yes position
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.92
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.83
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
Yes position
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $10.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 5.8% 100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 62.6% 100 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 7% 100 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 40% 8 shares
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 99.1% 99.99 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 1.1% 500 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 40.6% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 40% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 30% 250 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 4.9% 500 shares
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No 8% 799.99 shares