Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$5.2K
Polymarket Trader
pengwing
0x82e0a0f82a3ea62534db39d68f0b8bd9a0d3bcfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.86
- Realized PnL
- $11.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.93K
- Potential profit
- $6.93K
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- User PnL
- -$836
Yes position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$585.95
Yes position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$737
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $72.37
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.63
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $928.14
- Potential profit
- $928.14
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $853.34
- Potential profit
- $853.34
- User PnL
- -$299.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.43
- Potential profit
- $699.43
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $623.92
- Potential profit
- $623.92
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.28
- Potential profit
- $610.28
- User PnL
- -$294
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$300
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- $0
No position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $96.93
- Potential payout
- $587.47
- Potential profit
- $490.54
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $96.93
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.62
- Potential profit
- $512.62
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.53
- Potential profit
- $500.53
- User PnL
- -$318.89
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456.98
- Potential profit
- $456.98
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.4
- Potential profit
- $405.4
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $333.34
- Potential profit
- $288.34
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$66.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.75
- Potential profit
- $318.75
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.18
- Potential profit
- $258.18
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.45
- Potential profit
- $254.45
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.24
- Potential profit
- $254.24
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.95
- Potential profit
- $248.95
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.99
- Potential profit
- $232.99
- User PnL
- -$123.49
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $46.74
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $170.65
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $46.74
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$99.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.75
- Potential profit
- $188.75
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.67
- Potential profit
- $175.67
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.48
- Potential profit
- $173.48
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$89.19
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.41
- Potential profit
- $167.41
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $100.82
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $63.11
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $100.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.73
- Potential profit
- $160.73
- User PnL
- -$75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $724.84
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.5
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $308.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.31
Yes position
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.83
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.41
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.84
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.8
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?Up 53.8% 175.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.1% 1,140.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.1% 1,140.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.7% 773.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.6% 236.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 169.49 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?Up 80% 125 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86.5% 693.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 65% 7.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.9% 562.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 89% 898.88 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?Up 48% 208.33 shares