Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- User PnL
- -$96.69
Polymarket Trader
squib
0x82e98439c29b25a0105262d08859a7bae074b6a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.55
- Realized PnL
- -$18.23
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$105.9
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $56.94
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $14.32
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $119.79
- Potential payout
- $958.33
- Potential profit
- $838.54
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $711.79
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$21.45
Yes position
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.01
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 958.33 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.6% 1,406.03 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.1% 1,363.64 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 1,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes 1.2% 1,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes 1.7% 500 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes 1.6% 50 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes 6% 1,402.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes 6% 113.17 shares
- US military action against Iran before July?Yes 41.3% 6.78 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes 9% 50 shares