No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.31K
- Potential profit
- $11.31K
- User PnL
- -$22.61
Polymarket Trader
risingbread
0x82fb4f67404bedc211052840e3f927997c5d3094
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.79
- Realized PnL
- $185.03
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.91
- Potential profit
- $406.91
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $248
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.8
- Potential profit
- $78.8
- User PnL
- -$7.88
Prepolec position
Dober vs. Prepolec
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.3
- Potential profit
- $35.3
- User PnL
- -$11.65
No position
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.24
- Potential profit
- $31.24
- User PnL
- -$22.91
No position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.8
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.22
Oliveira position
Luciano vs. Oliveira
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.31
Malott position
Malott vs. Holland
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Jourdain position
Grant vs. Jourdain
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.01
Santos position
Barlow vs. Santos
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Allen position
Allen vs. de Ridder
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.87
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.51
Yes position
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No 20.8% 11.95 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No 84% 77.16 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No 84.2% 77.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No 0.2% 8,805 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 224.01 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No 56% 15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 68.9% 20 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 2.2% 28.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown 46% 6.32 shares