Polymarket Trader

runnon

@_runnon_

0x830b58f5ad16bc11043d873875735aac445ba55b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $984.66
Realized PnL: $2.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$69.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$15.82

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $880.75
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $480.75

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $102.27
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $49.24
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.27

France position

Spread: France (-3.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.47
Potential profit: $129.47
User PnL: -$44.02

Yes position

Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.65
Potential profit: $73.65
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.89

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.97

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.07

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.45

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.92

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.2

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.44

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.01

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.14

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.84

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.69

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.92

No position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.86

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.82

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

No position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.34

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $36.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

58% 425.66 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 70.29 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 943.39 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 311.15 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 42% 283.72 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 43% 283.72 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 2,439.02 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 5,263.15 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

No 98.8% 1,041.17 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.9% 5,008.79 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 5,883 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 13.1% 188.31 shares