0x830c2185736e70ad18959658444cE401eeF4d1fc-1781402276695

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $620.31
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.5
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.7
Potential profit: $309.7
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $269.29
Potential profit: $264.71
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$10.42

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $140.82
Potential profit: $139.13
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $105.43
Potential profit: $101.26
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $84.46
Potential profit: $76.1
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $48.33
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.45
Potential profit: $34.45
User PnL: -$19.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$9.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $7.02
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sex" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $6.69
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.31

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.45

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.65

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Uruguay?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Neither team to score first?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?