Polymarket Trader

srpmktwhw

0x831bae5557425c18b187bc09fa5ee7ae93f0eed5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $893.34
Realized PnL: $13.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $397.69
Potential payout: $29.46K
Potential profit: $29.06K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$602.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $85.09
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $7.31K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$214.91

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$699.91

Yes position

Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $221.43
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$78.57

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $189.13
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$110.87

No position

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$120

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Vikings

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$400

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Bears

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $943.4
Potential profit: $943.4
User PnL: -$500

Packers position

Spread: Packers (-6.5)

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$300

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.9
Potential profit: $425.9
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.06
Potential profit: $425.06
User PnL: -$200

Bengals position

Spread: Broncos (-7.5)

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $392.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.32
Potential profit: $331.32
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.23
Potential profit: $306.23
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.6
Potential profit: $288.6
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271
Potential profit: $271
User PnL: -$100

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

Chiefs position

Eagles vs. Chiefs

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.45

No position

Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.47

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.67

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.84

KC position

Spread: KC (-6.5)

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.67

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.33

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.32

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.06

Twolves position

NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.16

Yes position

Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.51

Nets position

Nets vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.32

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.44

Eagles position

Spread: Eagles (-3.5)

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Florida position

Florida vs. Auburn

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.19

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.87

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.97

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.28

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.25

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.48

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.68

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Heat

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 77% 129.87 shares
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Yes 6.5% 1,536.45 shares
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

Yes 6.8% 1,476.03 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

No 99.4% 113.63 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

No 47.1% 425.06 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 84% 119.05 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 21% 1,428.57 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 4,025.16 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.5% 4,025.17 shares
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?

No 83.1% 120.29 shares
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 63% 158.73 shares