Polymarket Trader

Alanx83

0x832386c87d1eaca2e03c76e1721de45e11b77b17

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.98
Realized PnL: $39.23
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $60.86
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $997.57
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$19.14

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $992.23
Potential profit: $992.23
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $35.41
Potential payout: $544.76
Potential profit: $509.35
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$57.45

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $298.51
Potential profit: $291.49
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$12.98

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $39.17
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $23.04
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $12.68
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.36
Potential profit: $32.36
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.68
Potential profit: $30.68
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $23.31
Potential profit: $21.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.38
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

No position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.81

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.7%
Multiplier: 3.90x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20.4% 49.02 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 641.03 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 6.7% 298.51 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 24.5% 174.92 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 0.8% 20.85 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Yes 0.2% 14.1 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 17% 516.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Up 0.9% 1,111.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Up 12.9% 77.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Up 13.1% 150.4 shares