Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $251.61
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $80.79
Polymarket Trader
Busdriver23
0x8330fbb7e7cd79fe0852c413f35b7f104db2b88f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $510.58
- Realized PnL
- $10.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$976.95
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$880
No position
Will Charli XCX release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$230
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $990.15
- Potential profit
- $990.15
- User PnL
- -$383.56
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $786.45
- Potential profit
- $786.45
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $614.04
- Potential profit
- $614.04
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.82
- Potential profit
- $581.82
- User PnL
- -$151.27
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $579.9
- Potential profit
- $579.9
- User PnL
- -$21.46
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.13
- Potential profit
- $510.13
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$205.99
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $182.67
- Potential payout
- $297.02
- Potential profit
- $114.35
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $76.3
- Potential payout
- $246.13
- Potential profit
- $169.83
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.92
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.67
- Potential profit
- $196.67
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.26
- Potential profit
- $172.26
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.88
- Potential profit
- $166.88
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.12
- Potential profit
- $51.12
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$24.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.48
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.12
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.92
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.52
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.76
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.9
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.7
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.83
Yes position
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.33
Yes position
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.4
OG position
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.5
OG position
Dota 2: OG vs Execration (BO1)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.49
No position
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.99
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.01
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.62
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.71
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.44
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.6
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.48
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.71
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.41
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.2
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 37% 1,351.42 shares
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports 27% 370.37 shares
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports 29% 51.72 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 38% 157.89 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No 38.3% 52.18 shares
- Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 5.3% 124.01 shares
- Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?Yes 34% 58.82 shares
- Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No 33% 60 shares
- Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No 32% 40 shares
- Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 7.3% 124.02 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.6% 276.26 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 89% 276.25 shares