Polymarket Trader

0x8333521Ed10E5c714960Cde86e43B0A93e9DeF3E-1772404534081

0x8333521ed10e5c714960cde86e43b0a93e9def3e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.67K
Realized PnL: $3.58K
Win rate: 65.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $5.93K
Potential payout: $6.16K
Potential profit: $227.91
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $32.47

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $402.98
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $84.06

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $219.76
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $11.34

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $30.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $801.03
Potential payout: $895
Potential profit: $93.98
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $522.26
Potential payout: $586.81
Potential profit: $64.55
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $22.26

No position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $299.21
Potential payout: $327.01
Potential profit: $27.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $173.21
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$4.73

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $21.08
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $99.41
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $18.24
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.87

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.3

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.63

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.56

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.09

No position

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.2

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.23

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.9

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $45.49

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.48

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $41.65

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.57

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.89

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.2

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$131.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$186.88

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$351.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 5.6% 178.47 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

United States 83% 120.48 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

No 91.7% 327.01 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 96.7% 1,034.42 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 96.1% 5,202.96 shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 85.2% 586.81 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 89.6% 2,231.1 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 94% 956.7 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 6% 100 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 88% 448.96 shares