Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $247.57
- Potential payout
- $270.57
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Polymarket Trader
HopeBD
0x83424b65aebf31e70a0ff10d21b69fdaf554b349
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $11.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $198.86
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $28.41
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $198.45
- Potential payout
- $217.71
- Potential profit
- $19.27
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $104.42
- Potential payout
- $116.42
- Potential profit
- $11.99
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.42
Y
Yes position
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $101.35
- Potential payout
- $115.17
- Potential profit
- $13.82
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $102.91
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $100.47
- Potential payout
- $103.41
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes 86.8% 115.17 shares
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes 92% 163.04 shares
- Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes 88% 113.64 shares
- Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No 86.6% 115.5 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 96.2% 111.58 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No 96.2% 159.57 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No 94% 159.57 shares
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes 93% 107.53 shares
- Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes 88% 113.64 shares
- Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No 84.7% 44.86 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 96.7% 103.41 shares
- Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No 87.2% 57.35 shares