Polymarket Trader

0x834Ce6613649DfC2de3083F360582fBf0849F985-1764460845244

0x834ce6613649dfc2de3083f360582fbf0849f985

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.29
Realized PnL: $11.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.95
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.91
Potential profit: $49.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $44.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $42.4
Potential profit: $42.12
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.76
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $30.35
Potential profit: $30.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.61
Potential profit: $22.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $19.72
Potential profit: $19.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $16.77
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

No 99.9% 5 shares