Yes position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $107.26
- Potential profit
- $100.13
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Polymarket Trader
poliwacho
0x834d61f60e730b4d75e773f93b5c7dc9f2c35dac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.13
- Realized PnL
- -$30.65
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.47
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.46
No position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.17
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$19.66
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$30.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes 22.2% 3.45 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 41% 2.97 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?No 29.6% 32.44 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 68.9% 22.59 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 57.8% 24.18 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No 33% 47.82 shares
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes 64% 28.42 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 64% 29.19 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 76.2% 30 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 34.3% 71.71 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 66% 15 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 33% 5 shares