Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.12
- Potential profit
- $180.12
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Polymarket Trader
Larka
0x836a4b6d08a62cd3c451229b1be15c6046fc4dbf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $126.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $47.85
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.99
- Potential profit
- $41.99
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.7
- Potential profit
- $39.7
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.4
- Potential profit
- $36.4
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.04
- Potential profit
- $33.04
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.32
- Potential profit
- $28.32
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.35
- Potential profit
- $24.35
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.99
- Potential profit
- $21.99
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.56
- Potential profit
- $21.56
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.36
- Potential profit
- $19.36
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.99
- Potential profit
- $17.99
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.12
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?No 60% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 24?No 99.8% 2.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 23?No 99.7% 1.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?Yes 99.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?No 99.8% 2.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?Yes 99.8% 5.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 23?No 99.9% 2.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 23?Yes 99.9% 2.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 23?No 99.9% 2.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?No 64% 6.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 23?Yes 11% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?Yes 97% 1.78 shares