No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $107.17K
- Potential payout
- $107.76K
- Potential profit
- $592.69
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Polymarket Trader
RizzEmWithTheTism
0x836ffd95ef3cf3c7987612279b2152b11ce6906e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.21K
- Realized PnL
- $19.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $28.35K
- Potential payout
- $28.65K
- Potential profit
- $300.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $26.67K
- Potential payout
- $26.74K
- Potential profit
- $66.85
- User PnL
- $521.92
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $15.54K
- Potential payout
- $15.98K
- Potential profit
- $447.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $13.53K
- Potential payout
- $14.32K
- Potential profit
- $787.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $517.61
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $8.74K
- Potential payout
- $10.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.94K
- Potential payout
- $8.95K
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- User PnL
- $88.97
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.28K
- Potential payout
- $8.31K
- Potential profit
- $20.76
- User PnL
- $336.91
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $6.07K
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $266.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $344.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.32K
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- User PnL
- $60.53
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.3K
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $19.43
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.66K
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $144.74
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.86
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $812.16
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
No position
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- User PnL
- $17.81
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $19.27
- User PnL
- $92.47
No position
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $115.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $62.91
No position
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $66.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $115.54
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $45.87
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $907.09
- Potential payout
- $991.36
- Potential profit
- $84.27
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $536.13
- Potential payout
- $760.46
- Potential profit
- $224.34
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$11.41
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $623.55
- Potential payout
- $689
- Potential profit
- $65.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $574.64
- Potential payout
- $676.05
- Potential profit
- $101.41
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $657.81
- Potential payout
- $658.14
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $258.98
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $472.15
- Potential payout
- $601.85
- Potential profit
- $129.7
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$16.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.14
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.72
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.51
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.83
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.76
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.18
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.66
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.68
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.89
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.51
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.96
No position
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.6% 28,268 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 95.1% 100 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 94.4% 431.21 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No 87% 300.8 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.6% 6,299.73 shares
- Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?No 95.8% 569 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.2% 398.85 shares
- Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?No 98.9% 618.99 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 90.6% 75.27 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 596 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 21.1% 521 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 33.5% 227.5 shares