Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Polymarket Trader
Chore
0x83708188bb141ae02eb081e4f7131f7b2da9f352
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $310
- Realized PnL
- $12.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.51
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.76
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.62
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.45
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.37
Yes position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.8
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.14
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.62
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.99
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 21% 1,550 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.2% 341 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.3% 464.56 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 45.7% 74.56 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 46.8% 390 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- X Money released by April 30, 2026?Yes 37.9% 161.35 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 22.2% 1,509.92 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 1.2% 7,250 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 1.2% 808 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,828.02 shares