Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.41
- Potential profit
- $240.41
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Polymarket Trader
0x8385...89a4
0x8385118244e822f5c12b13234fbb07ab40dd89a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $25.93
- Realized PnL
- $106.98
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.23
- Potential profit
- $188.23
- User PnL
- -$9.39
Yes position
Will the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.41
- Potential profit
- $168.41
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.68
- Potential profit
- $94.68
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.9
- Potential profit
- $91.9
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.74
- Potential profit
- $84.74
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.63
- Potential profit
- $76.63
- User PnL
- -$3.17
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.95
- Potential profit
- $69.95
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $16.31
- Potential payout
- $67.95
- Potential profit
- $51.64
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.28
- Potential profit
- $67.28
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.3
- Potential profit
- $61.3
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.83
- Potential profit
- $54.83
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.6
- Potential profit
- $46.6
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.76
- Potential profit
- $35.76
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.43
- Potential profit
- $35.43
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.46
- Potential profit
- $29.46
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.56
- Potential profit
- $25.56
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $15.37
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.21
- Potential profit
- $23.21
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Big Game: Scorigami?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.02
- Potential profit
- $21.02
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.46
- Potential profit
- $20.46
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $19.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $15.25
49ers position
49ers vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Seahawks position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Jaguars position
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H Moneyline
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 10?Yes 41.1% 24.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?Yes 20.6% 67.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 9?Yes 92% 23.58 shares
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsSeattle Mariners 33% 15.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 9?Yes 26.2% 23.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 9?Yes 74.9% 37.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 9?Yes 10.7% 92.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 9?Yes 6% 92.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 9?Yes 34.5% 37.69 shares
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsSeattle Mariners 38% 16.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 24?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 22?Yes 11.8% 8.62 shares