Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $20.28K
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $413.5
Polymarket Trader
miskulinac
0x8390808cefaf138f02b7fb0beff93148ce0809f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.72K
- Realized PnL
- $11.94K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $7.47K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $10.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $756
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $11.24K
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$788.69
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.83K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $749.99
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.25K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$949.99
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $705.45
- Potential payout
- $9.41K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $975
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$838.25
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $218.33
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $483
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $409.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$73.5
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $119
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $367
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $303
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $206.6
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$90.76
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $505
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$45
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $834.99
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$5
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$91
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$335
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $545.63
- Potential payout
- $603.24
- Potential profit
- $57.61
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515
- Potential profit
- $515
- User PnL
- -$72.1
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $292.48
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $207.49
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $499.97
- User PnL
- -$252.98
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$267
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $651.13
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.68
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $368.27
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.37
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $249.24
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $148.01
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $130.86
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.74
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $93.18
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Brazil 17% 179.19 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 4,281.55 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 83.6% 1,999.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.4% 1,513 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.3% 824.32 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.7% 2,663.27 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.7% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.8% 530 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.9% 9,429.46 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Portugal 13% 106.12 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 90% 603.24 shares