Polymarket Trader

deepsleep

0x83946fd2a83b4c0045a17a938ae0802dfaf58d66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.86K
Realized PnL: $633.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $326.03
Potential payout: $326.52
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $66.3

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $217.1
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $42.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5.85

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $217.01
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $199.1
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $20.9
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $30.92

No position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $139.47
Potential payout: $147.59
Potential profit: $8.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $14.37
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $115.64
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$6.4

No position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $120.65
Potential payout: $120.77
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $25.95

No position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $107.56
Potential payout: $115.04
Potential profit: $7.48
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $102.46
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $20.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.15
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$23.5

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $60.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $38.99
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $39.15
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $50.85
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$24.85

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $87.89
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $68.66
Potential payout: $89.75
Potential profit: $21.09
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.99

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$15.8

No position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $33.6
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $36.4
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $18.3

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $45.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$49.3

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $43.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$4.17

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $51.81
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.59

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.87

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.14

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

No position

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.15

No position

Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.22

Yes position

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

Japan position

AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 27% 10 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5

Over 62% 5 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 1% 17.5 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 5% 17.5 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 31% 10 shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 10 shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Under 52% 10 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32% 15 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 83% 5 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Over 92% 10 shares