Polymarket Trader

irungbala

0x83aab7795cf69126ba95faf4bcaef2cbeabd35bb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.01
Realized PnL: $12.34
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.3
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$1.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update