No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Polymarket Trader
0x83b0b1058E1d15845cB28bAa7aBf6CB450B9649b-1755049207275
0x83b0b1058e1d15845cb28baa7abf6cb450b9649b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.14
- Realized PnL
- $3.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $10.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Blue Jays position
Cubs vs. Blue Jays
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will another person win the Bolivian election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 99.2% 10.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 6.04 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No 99.8% 6.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 14?No 99.5% 12.06 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes 99.8% 28.06 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No 99.4% 25.15 shares
- Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?Yes 98.2% 25.46 shares
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Yes 98% 25.51 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No 97.4% 25.67 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No 98.7% 26.34 shares