Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x83b5...e89e
0x83b5e1e4c940fc8cc6bc10deeb8e382098e8e89e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $7.29
- Realized PnL
- $26.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Trump say "Clinton" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes 59.9% 1.67 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 3?No 69% 1.45 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 2?No 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 2?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 2?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?No 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes 39% 2.56 shares