Polymarket Trader

5tghfh67fghfsdt4356g

0x83c56c56bc67c0b99b38abd1c0a3c1aca7a7e193

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.35K
Realized PnL: $9.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $463.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $436.5
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $109.5

Yes position

Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $70.7
Potential payout: $831.72
Potential profit: $761.02
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.31

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $158.79
Potential payout: $756.14
Potential profit: $597.35
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$72.56

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533.35
Potential profit: $533.35
User PnL: -$469.52

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $356.96
Potential payout: $528.82
Potential profit: $171.87
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $49.24

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $299.19
Potential payout: $409.85
Potential profit: $110.66
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $256.74
Potential payout: $349.3
Potential profit: $92.57
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$7.45

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $145.2
Potential payout: $315.66
Potential profit: $170.46
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$26.35

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $315.39
Potential profit: $307.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$27.56

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $60.75
Potential payout: $270.01
Potential profit: $209.26
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$26.95

Yes position

Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 65.9%
Current value: $164.7
Potential payout: $249.93
Potential profit: $85.23
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $85.5

No position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $157.4
Potential payout: $240.31
Potential profit: $82.91
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $17.47
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $215.53
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $78.26
Potential payout: $226.9
Potential profit: $148.65
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$6.58

Yes position

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $171.82
Potential payout: $218.89
Potential profit: $47.06
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$22.58

No position

Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $170.03
Potential payout: $217.99
Potential profit: $47.96
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $97
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $194.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $169
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $5

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $197.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $186
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $31.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $168.8
Multiplier: 6.41x
User PnL: $20.6

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $56.98
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $143.01
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.4%
Current value: $150.87
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $23.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Valentova position

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.41K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.69

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Hundred" 25+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.53

Olympiacos B.C. position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.64

No position

Will Leavitt say "West Virginia" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Low IQ" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.5

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.08

No position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.08

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.13

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $248.23

No position

Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.02

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.26

No position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.99

No position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.56

No position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.19

Yes position

Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Tax" 20+ times during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 73% 200 shares
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

No 64.6% 124 shares
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

No 70.7% 11.06 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 55% 10 shares
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 35% 20 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 5% 6.41 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Yes 7% 307.97 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 6% 28 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 33% 100 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Yes 13% 26.37 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Yes 12% 97 shares