Polymarket Trader

0x83D72b8fAE2f51934c3B71d9f10F137d88c2E8bA-1770866863721

0x83d72b8fae2f51934c3b71d9f10f137d88c2e8ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $418.22
Realized PnL: $5.82K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $305.88
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $995.74
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $112.34
Potential payout: $724.76
Potential profit: $612.42
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$97.66

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.52
Potential profit: $621.52
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $701.39

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.55

Over position

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.41

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.41

Over position

Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

Under position

Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 29% 724.76 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 23% 1,301.62 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 90% 2,564.22 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 78% 2,564.22 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 16.1% 621.52 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 77% 2,207.79 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 77% 2,207.79 shares
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas Razorbacks 99.9% 252.08 shares
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5

Over 99.9% 214.1 shares
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5

Over 53% 213.22 shares
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas Razorbacks 79.1% 251.35 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 95.2% 820.79 shares