Polymarket Trader

kegli

0x83e055eb6e91fdbd850aff56ad2ac0f50cb2bbe7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.52K
Realized PnL: $14K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $28.61K
Potential payout: $29.57K
Potential profit: $960.92
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $70.07

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $680.18
Potential payout: $795.53
Potential profit: $115.35
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $552.89

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $27.77
Potential payout: $221.24
Potential profit: $193.47
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $2.77

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $61.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $27.31
Potential payout: $30.86
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.31

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $24.16
Potential payout: $27.38
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $26.09
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $24.72
Potential payout: $26.4
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $25.12
Potential payout: $26.12
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.3

Qatar position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $9.04
Potential payout: $9.14
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $17.02

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.99x
User PnL: $5.41

Norway position

World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Finland position

World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2

Canada position

World Championships: Canada vs. USA

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Detroit Tigers position

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.8%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 5,839.88 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 100 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.1% 13,283.55 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Up 50% 768.7 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 85% 20 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.1% 19.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

Up 35% 9,997 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Saudi Arabia 59% 8.47 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 92% 500 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 63% 11.9 shares