No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $89.86
- Potential payout
- $89.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.36
Polymarket Trader
4ctyv56
0x83e1e6f0d50ac6b896c177a142dfdd5c9a7cde76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.83
- Realized PnL
- $20.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $3.72
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $3.43
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
No position
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Megaquake in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed generators?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Apple dip to $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?No 99.8% 5.32 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 98.7% 2.84 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No 99.4% 3.62 shares
- Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?No 99.6% 3.61 shares
- Will BNB dip to $300 in May?No 99.8% 6.01 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 89.86 shares
- Will Apple dip to $200 in April?No 99.7% 7.6 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 98.8% 2.23 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No 99.9% 1.08 shares
- Will Google dip to $195 in April?No 99.7% 1.4 shares
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No 95.7% 2.04 shares