Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $884.32
- Potential profit
- $883.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$149.56
Polymarket Trader
ideas-501
0x83eb9c192cabd49cc57cecbc062ed3a31d4ce5bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.65
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $865.09
- Potential profit
- $864.65
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$149.57
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $144.77
- Potential payout
- $723.85
- Potential profit
- $579.08
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$155.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.52
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.28
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.23
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$779.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes 41.4% 723.85 shares
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 17% 884.32 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 17.3% 865.09 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes 69% 1,449.28 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes 3% 7,275.08 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 84% 493.95 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes 13.7% 7,275.08 shares
- OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes 72.3% 2,075.52 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 32.9% 1,518.48 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes 57.4% 512.55 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No 42.5% 412 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No 72.3% 556.33 shares