Yes position
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Polymarket Trader
Jayliwang
0x83fe60b110cdf044d5338accb3cebdd4e5416b61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $94.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bridgerton be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.31
- Potential profit
- $275.31
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261
- Potential profit
- $261
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Harmonix FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.53
- Potential profit
- $189.53
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Kenny Atkinson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.97
- Potential profit
- $187.97
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.52
- Potential profit
- $143.52
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.58
- Potential profit
- $140.58
- User PnL
- -$9.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.99
- Potential profit
- $102.99
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.27
- Potential profit
- $100.27
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$2.52
No position
Will Infrared launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.22
- Potential profit
- $81.22
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $81
- User PnL
- -$7.08
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.98
- Potential profit
- $77.98
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.85
- Potential profit
- $70.85
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.07
- Potential profit
- $57.07
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.55
No position
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$5.97
Yes position
Will Alex Caruso win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.41
- Potential profit
- $45.41
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.65
Yes position
Will Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.84
Yes position
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.04
Yes position
Will Keon Ellis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Jarrett Allen win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 0.2% 43.2 shares
- Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 2.8% 5 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Yes 0.3% 5 shares
- Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season?Yes 0.1% 10 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?Yes 0.4% 7.44 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.7% 5.01 shares
- Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Yes 0.2% 19.75 shares
- StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?Yes 0.4% 15 shares
- Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?Yes 0.4% 30 shares
- Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes 0.1% 126.57 shares
- Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?Yes 0.3% 59.09 shares
- Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 0.4% 67.41 shares