No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $136.68
- Potential payout
- $557.89
- Potential profit
- $421.21
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$25.11
Polymarket Trader
CHA.GEE
0x8402ec6f468156448e633481042cd7ec4b1c3c46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $493.64
- Realized PnL
- $820.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $253.87
- Potential payout
- $254.89
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- $33.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $64.04
- Potential payout
- $74.03
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $17.17
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $39.05
- Potential payout
- $46.77
- Potential profit
- $7.72
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $17.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.43
Yes position
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.04
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.16
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.56
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $32.72
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.67
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
No position
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
No position
Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 29% 557.89 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 9% 33.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 9% 33.33 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 52% 9.59 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 47% 6.41 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 0.1% 1,999.98 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 0.2% 666.66 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 0.2% 666.66 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 0.2% 666.66 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.4% 499.98 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.2% 166.66 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.2% 166.66 shares