Polymarket Trader

0x841faDaa30288B7e0914DB0026cC39bCcEF3806b-1765861658721

0x841fadaa30288b7e0914db0026cc39bccef3806b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $359.33
Realized PnL: $19.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $250.43
Potential payout: $963.19
Potential profit: $712.76
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $108.9
Potential payout: $640.61
Potential profit: $531.71
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$26.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58K

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26K

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.85

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.46

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.34

Yes position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $293.41

Yes position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.15

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.75

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $232.2

Yes position

Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.68

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.89

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.42

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.98

Yes position

Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.94

Yes position

Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.05

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $147.01

No position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.18

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.3

Yes position

Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.3

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $111.83

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Yes 27.1% 200 shares
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Yes 28% 200 shares
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Yes 29% 200 shares
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 21.2% 1,000 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 51% 420.02 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 270 shares
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 90% 49.99 shares
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

No 94.2% 100 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

No 4.3% 200 shares
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?

Yes 96% 12 shares
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 59% 9.01 shares
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 12.9% 82.58 shares