No position
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Polymarket Trader
alliedmarket
0x8436821f514a55b1c1d3e8592c55a6d33ea35df3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $20.92
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" or "Sleepy Joe" during Digital Asset Summit?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Duke position
Mount St. Mary's s vs. Duke
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jerome Powell be out as Federal Reserve Chair in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.5% 17 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.5% 17 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 39 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 39 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.4% 40 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 40 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 66% 39 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 66% 39 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 13 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 41 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.9% 46 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 50% 78 shares