Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $22.11K
- Potential profit
- $22.1K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$265.31
Polymarket Trader
0x843831c6Ea4cd666062d9c03280ef79D1f4102fE-1776112364803
0x843831c6ea4cd666062d9c03280ef79d1f4102fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.92
- Realized PnL
- -$252.09
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.26K
- Potential profit
- $7.26K
- User PnL
- -$69.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $79.91
- Potential payout
- $225.09
- Potential profit
- $145.18
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.09
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- -$29.9
Yes position
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$67.7
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$204.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?Yes 34.8% 225.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?Yes 27.4% 102.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?Yes 31.6% 86.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Yes 0.2% 1,132.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?Yes 9.7% 173.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?Yes 25.5% 117.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?Yes 29.3% 102.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?Yes 34.7% 86.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?Yes 18.1% 55.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?Yes 50% 197.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?Yes 0.5% 1,241.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?Yes 0.2% 4,556.95 shares