N
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.4
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Polymarket Trader
Kaisie
0x843e949f1d004c39141451c4034c818c5e1b8028
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.83
- Realized PnL
- $34.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Y
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.02
- Potential profit
- $8.02
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.54
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.39
- Potential profit
- $5.39
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- User PnL
- -$4.41
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Zhejiang Zhiye FC position
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
N
No position
Will Starmer not participate in the next PMQ?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will no MrBeast video be posted?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E2?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $2.56
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E2?Yes 98.6% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown 79% 6.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 75% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 73% 6.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 70% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp 69% 6.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 74% 6.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 69% 6.09 shares
- Will no MrBeast video be posted?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will anyone say "Multiverse" during Rick and Morty E8 S9?No 98.7% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown 82% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 78% 6.15 shares