Polymarket Trader

paga2004

0x84413ec955675842f1144f3c86aaf73b41e605a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $308.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.83
Potential profit: $145.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $49.02
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Yes position

Will Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Canucks position

Ducks vs. Canucks

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

No position

OpenSea token announcement in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Election certified on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Up 80% 11.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Up 43% 11.63 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 73% 6.85 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 73% 6.85 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Up 93% 5.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 68% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 20% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Up 31% 16.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 52% 10.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 46% 10.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Up 52% 9.62 shares