0x845C641FFCeF8199686E9454BfF0132CfAe50407-1772133816186

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $388.52
Potential profit: $374.14
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.25
Potential profit: $250.25
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $224.72
Potential profit: $212.92
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.07
Potential profit: $207.07
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.47
Potential profit: $157.47
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.18
Potential profit: $150.18
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.18
Potential profit: $105.18
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.69
Potential profit: $100.69
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $12.22
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $61.85
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$7.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.61
Potential profit: $63.61
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $10.78
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $51.73
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $31.04
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$9.38

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $17.22
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $19.81
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $12.73
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $23.64
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$7.27

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.61
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $29.11
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $28.67
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.59
Potential profit: $31.59
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.36
Potential profit: $29.36
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $11.56
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$8.44

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $19.1
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $11.18
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $14.21
Potential profit: $10.52
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$8.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.07

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.46

Yes position

Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET