Polymarket Trader

arfai

@JosephkerrtLei

0x845e5e61c0b183d1e49a84d6c80a6c27b6d41b32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $11.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.13
Potential profit: $38.13
User PnL: -$25.54

Yes position

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $25.88
User PnL: -$25.85

No position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $25.88
User PnL: -$25.85

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.38
Potential profit: $20.38
User PnL: -$20.18

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.42
Potential profit: $6.42
User PnL: -$6.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $6.08
User PnL: -$5.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Down position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9AM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 92.3% 5.81 shares
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 92.5% 5.81 shares
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 92.3% 5.81 shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Yes 0.2% 5.82 shares
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No 95.2% 5.81 shares
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No 97.4% 5.81 shares
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No 98.6% 5.81 shares
Valorant: Team RA'AD vs GnG Amazigh - Map 1 Winner

Team RAAD 99.9% 5.68 shares
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach - Game 1 Winner

Boston Breach 99.9% 5.67 shares
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.8%?

No 99.7% 5.69 shares
Counter-Strike: Venom vs F5 Esports (BO3)

Venom 99.9% 5.7 shares
M80 to win 1 maps?

No 99.9% 5.69 shares