Polymarket Trader

lushu9135

0x845f956dd6063f6e307a0faedfc4c08bd20a2a2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.15
Realized PnL: $5.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $2.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $1.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ka'imi Fairbairn be the Top Fantasy Kicker of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $1.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $1.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Yes 94% 1.06 shares
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Yes 98.9% 1.01 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 95% 1.05 shares
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?

Yes 99% 1.01 shares
Will Ka'imi Fairbairn be the Top Fantasy Kicker of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Yes 91% 1.1 shares
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Yes 91% 1.1 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 93% 1.08 shares
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Yes 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Yes 97.8% 1.02 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Yes 98.5% 1.02 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 91% 1.1 shares
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 93% 1.08 shares