Polymarket Trader

0x846a72d9969ac68CCD1A5Aa3C3B2fF5b42D88166-1774449436459

0x846a72d9969ac68ccd1a5aa3c3b2ff5b42d88166

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $704.66
Realized PnL: -$4.6K
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $334.42
Potential payout: $734.99
Potential profit: $400.57
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $56.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $175.37
Potential payout: $574.97
Potential profit: $399.61
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.98
Potential profit: $209.98
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $160.82
Potential payout: $207.51
Potential profit: $46.69
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $49.34

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $26.93
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $123.08
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $82.28

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$135.23

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.69K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.93K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Yes 4.9% 2.97 shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Yes 18% 150 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 53% 700 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 5 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 53% 230 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 0.1% 46 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Yes 73% 5 shares
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 30.1% 5 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 2.2% 46 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Yes 2.1% 382 shares