Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$540
Polymarket Trader
luciehodl
0x847439e25ba3cb10db102d14310744d93b592511
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $22.66K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$234.7
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.13K
- Potential profit
- $22.13K
- User PnL
- -$10.42K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.17K
- Potential profit
- $13.17K
- User PnL
- -$5.45K
Du Plessis position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$3.16K
No position
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.47
- Potential profit
- $106.47
- User PnL
- -$44.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48K
Shevchenko position
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Joshua Van position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $813.93
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $434.44
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $331.33
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.48
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.12
Dvalishvili position
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$90
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300.11
Trump position
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499.51
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Bitboy position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 1.1% 1,040.59 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 1.2% 682.5 shares
- UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Joshua Van 99.9% 8,999.97 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 40,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 20,000 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?No 54% 800 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?No 56% 4,000 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?No 55% 2,000 shares