Polymarket Trader

DonationsReceiver

0x847667d84fc4d81db36689c4f4c5845c8d125418

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.07K
Realized PnL: $180.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.79K
Potential profit: $53.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79K
Potential profit: $50.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79K
Potential profit: $50.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79K
Potential profit: $50.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79K
Potential profit: $50.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79K
Potential profit: $50.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.79K
Potential profit: $50.79K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.35K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$6.35K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $16.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.35K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03K
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $977.29
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$105.34

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.62K

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.34K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $13.82K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.7K

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.55K

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $960

No position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.02

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $914.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.38

No position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $887.96

No position

Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $846.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.39

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 99.6% 20,000 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 99.5% 5,555 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 6,482.94 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 40,000 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 20,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 45% 300 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 27.3% 687.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 29.2% 220 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 992.23 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 98% 3.75 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 76% 550.62 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Yes 84% 764.05 shares