No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $186.56
- Potential payout
- $298.5
- Potential profit
- $111.94
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $25.37
Polymarket Trader
neatbrass
0x847671906934f3b20ee793c0cb61dbe8040b34db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $599.18
- Realized PnL
- -$40.89
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $262.75
- Potential profit
- $251.71
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $196.36
- Potential payout
- $227
- Potential profit
- $30.65
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $37.46
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $100.39
- Potential payout
- $155.64
- Potential profit
- $55.25
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $30.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $26.92
- Potential payout
- $105.58
- Potential profit
- $78.66
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $32.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $17.32
- Potential payout
- $30.66
- Potential profit
- $13.34
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $17.29
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $8.71
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $10.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$17.19
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 70% 227 shares
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 64% 30.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 54% 298.5 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 47% 297.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 16% 375.35 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48% 297.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 17% 375.35 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 5.1% 262.75 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 40% 60 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 24% 105.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 78% 67.59 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 70% 26 shares