criptomaniac-MNC

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $93.67
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$37.93

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $52.04
Potential payout: $946.19
Potential profit: $894.15
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$45.49

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $46.14
Potential payout: $659.11
Potential profit: $612.97
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$53.86

Yes position

Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $83.54
Potential payout: $556.94
Potential profit: $473.4
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$11.96

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $36.06
Potential payout: $323.44
Potential profit: $287.37
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$13.94

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $12.8
Potential payout: $222.67
Potential profit: $209.87
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $45.9
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $154.11
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $97
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$21.24

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $76
Potential payout: $194.88
Potential profit: $118.88
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$24.31

Yes position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $56.73
Potential payout: $189.09
Potential profit: $132.36
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $16.73

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $14.01
Potential payout: $181.92
Potential profit: $167.91
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 30.9%
Current value: $55.55
Potential payout: $180.07
Potential profit: $124.52
Multiplier: 3.24x
User PnL: $13.05

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $94.53
Potential payout: $156.26
Potential profit: $61.72
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$5.47

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $135.45
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $14.55
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $88.02
Potential payout: $147.94
Potential profit: $59.92
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $136.85
Potential payout: $147.55
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $116.2
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $24.65
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $16.2

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $31.61
Potential payout: $112.9
Potential profit: $81.29
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$3.39

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $100.8
Potential payout: $108.21
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $94.01
Potential payout: $98.44
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Nico Paz win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $79.52
Potential profit: $78.33
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$3.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Houston position

Houston vs. UCF

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.77

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.68

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.52

Hurricanes position

Stars vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $77.9

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.69

Over position

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.23

Miami position

Miami vs. Ole Miss

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Medvedev position

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.05

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.15

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.59

Lightning position

Avalanche vs. Lightning

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.85

Over position

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Alexander Bublik position

Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.03

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.33

Blue Jackets position

Islanders vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.25

Philadelphia Phillies position

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.18

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Rangers

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.74

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.53

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?