N
No position
Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $47.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Polymarket Trader
napamen
0x849418ee19454113a9c3521c8d04bcab52f4814a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $677.4
- Realized PnL
- $802.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $40.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1
Avengers: Doomsday position
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $40.4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $46.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.05
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.05
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$4
Y
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$8
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $46.73
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Reece James score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.5
Under position
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.73
Geek Fam ID position
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Evil Geniuses Academy position
Valorant: YFT Esports vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.62
TheMongolz position
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Over position
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Team Nemesis position
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
N
No position
Argentina to win the second half?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Over position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Bebop position
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $9.97
INOX Division position
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $9.64
Over position
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
N
No position
Curaçao to score first vs. Germany?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Under position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Under position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
KOLESIE position
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $6.45
100 Thieves position
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?No 92% 50 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No 94.4% 50 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $324 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 11% 4.08 shares
- Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77.3% 49.98 shares
- Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?No 97% 1.01 shares
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports 59% 500 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder 53% 1.23 shares
- Argentina to win the second half?No 41% 499.99 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under 28% 0.92 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under 30% 10 shares
- Valorant: Mandatory vs la Masia (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Cla Masia 27% 1.33 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under 40% 5 shares