Polymarket Trader

OldTinyDeactivated

0x849769b6d6e66fd3359c675db58c41a85ddba3b4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.36
Realized PnL: $2.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.65
Potential profit: $56.65
User PnL: -$14.01

Yes position

Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.19
Potential profit: $47.19
User PnL: -$17.69

Yes position

Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.6
Potential profit: $37.6
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.77
Potential profit: $34.77
User PnL: -$11.45

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.21
Potential profit: $33.21
User PnL: -$13.38

Yes position

Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.88
Potential profit: $31.88
User PnL: -$19.76

Yes position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.56
Potential profit: $23.56
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19.21
Potential profit: $19.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Becca Good charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.51
Potential profit: $18.51
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.63
Potential profit: $17.63
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.9
Potential profit: $16.9
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.48
Potential profit: $9.48
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $4.81
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79
Potential profit: $3.79
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76
Potential profit: $3.76
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will $MARU reach $800M in Q1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.67
Potential profit: $3.67
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35
Potential profit: $3.35
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $3.29
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $251.85

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $178.25

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $177.64

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.84

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.35

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.75

No position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.29

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.32

Yes position

Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.44

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.4

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.89

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.95

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.21

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.87

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.54

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.69

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.93

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.25

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.24

No position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.71

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.61

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.44

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.55

Yes position

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 30% 0.33 shares
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 1.9% 32.21 shares
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?

Yes 25% 2.22 shares
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

No 96% 0.38 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.1% 2.94 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 1.19 shares
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes 6.2% 1.78 shares
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 27% 0.78 shares
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Yes 0.2% 81.92 shares
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Yes 17% 1.88 shares
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Yes 16.2% 3.6 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?

Yes 18% 2.98 shares