Polymarket Trader

magiccat001

0x8497d265d5dc36766eef6f7dedfb874f84f785f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.21K
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $231.04
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$984.96

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $231.04
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $984.96

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $84.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $88.05

Lakers position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$499.39

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $528.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $171.5
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $178.5

Yes position

Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$201

Yes position

Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30.9

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $44
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.91

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.94

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.59

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.77

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.56

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.53

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.37

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $33.17

No position

Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.66

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.81

Yes position

Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

Yes position

Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Timberwolves position

Pacers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

No 99.4% 44 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98.7% 79 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90% 122 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

No 52% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

No 82% 500 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 50% 700 shares
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Yes 90% 197.12 shares
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 97.2% 298.79 shares
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?

Yes 3% 915.94 shares
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?

Yes 8% 10,220 shares
Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?

Yes 8% 3,711.6 shares
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?

Yes 12% 1,972 shares